Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.983249 4.274044 4.585314 4.944950 5.351125 5.798162 6.330872
2025-07-06 3.461995 3.852182 4.295234 4.841666 5.506237 6.300244 7.339769
2025-07-13 3.184285 3.628088 4.152172 4.828367 5.695890 6.798949 8.356668
2025-07-20 3.024112 3.512770 4.108839 4.908022 5.982736 7.429511 9.627497
2025-07-27 2.917517 3.446425 4.110295 5.031839 6.326667 8.168768 11.183327
2025-08-03 2.789486 3.338867 4.044208 5.051204 6.518587 8.707656 12.538199
2025-08-10 2.656076 3.212757 3.940590 5.003859 6.601199 9.083613 13.697053
2025-08-17 2.507390 3.056221 3.783432 4.864112 6.525506 9.190633 14.389208
2025-08-24 2.395644 2.942270 3.676260 4.785988 6.532843 9.429562 15.383484
2025-08-31 2.338467 2.898490 3.662719 4.842950 6.756587 10.067854 17.366780
2025-09-07 2.269806 2.834649 3.615821 4.843856 6.885889 10.553424 19.171458
2025-09-14 2.162135 2.711237 3.476189 4.690539 6.738406 10.495027 19.659989
2025-09-21 2.069863 2.609572 3.368727 4.589717 6.688233 10.651094 20.845857
2025-09-28 1.985839 2.516656 3.270288 4.497902 6.647635 10.827229 22.189479
2025-10-05 1.929799 2.461049 3.223889 4.486058 6.748383 11.312943 24.663893
2025-10-12 1.899060 2.440265 3.228146 4.556961 7.008959 12.196910 28.954291
2025-10-19 1.879718 2.434868 3.254966 4.667023 7.357347 13.365700 35.276278
2025-10-26 1.840067 2.397383 3.229493 4.684220 7.523133 14.133889 40.799238
2025-11-02 1.789854 2.341986 3.172892 4.642167 7.562136 14.586044 45.376391
2025-11-09 1.724837 2.262005 3.073766 4.517885 7.415935 14.511231 47.117735
2025-11-16 1.675096 2.203647 3.007015 4.448305 7.380537 14.742387 51.023070
2025-11-23 1.653157 2.186841 3.006382 4.499045 7.612048 15.800910 62.161629
2025-11-30 1.622308 2.155163 2.979932 4.499852 7.732340 16.563147 73.071538